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Wednesday, November 15 • 10:40 - 11:00
A Fuzzy C-means Based Clustering Technique for Wind Farm Generation Adequacy Evaluation

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The Capacity Outage Probability Table (COPT) is the most common analytical model for the generation adequacy evaluation. A recursive algorithm can be used to form the COPT which demonstrates arrays of capacity levels of generation with their probabilities of occurrence. The number of states in a COPT is a critical task since more states generally mean a higher modelling accuracy and also a longer computation time. In this study, the wind farm generation adequacy using hourly wind speed data of St. John's, Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada will be investigated. Fuzzy c-means method is used to determine appropriate number of states in the COPT. The study results are demonstrated using Roy Billinton Test System (RBTS). Unlike the existing methods, the computation complexity is declined by using Fuzzy c-means method, and the model of a wind farm is simplified. This analytical analysis is useful for financial investigators and planners of wind farm generation projects.

Wednesday November 15, 2017 10:40 - 11:00
Crush area 180 Portugal Cove Road, St. John's, NL, Canada